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The forecast of the rains during the short rainy season promises to be varied

Consequences of the torrential rains March-May 2018-File

The Rwanda Meteorology Agency warned early in the short rainy season that the rainy season would begin in the second week of September 2018 and end around the first week of January 2019.

At a press conference held in early September 2018, the Director General of  Rwanda Meteorology Agency, John Ntaganda Semafara, informed the public that rains would begin between the second week of September until the second week of October 2018 across the entire national territory from west to east.

At the same time, Semafara said that the rains of the short rainy season will run from the third week of December 2018 to the first week of January 2019.

Regarding the rainfall measurements that will be observed, Semafara indicated that “during the short rainy season between September and December 2018, the rains will be of a relative intensity to that of the rains that fall during ordinary times” .

For further details, he indicated that rain measurements during ordinary times are estimated between 490mm and 540mm in the western part of the country, between 290mm and 30mm in the east of the country, between 450mm and 510mm in the north of the country, between 390 mm and 470mm in the south of the country and between 290mm and 360mm in the City of Kigali.

Starting from the physical geography of each part of the country,  the CEO of Rwanda Meteorology Agency said, “there is forecast of sufficient quantities of rains but which can be redoubled intensity in the districts of: Nyaruguru, Nyamagabe, Nyamasheke, Karongi, Rutsiro, Nyabihu, Rubavu, Rulindo, Gakenke, Musanze, Ngororero, north of Muhanga, east of Nyagatare and Gatsibo “.

On the other hand,  “sufficient rainfall is expected, but it will be able to reduce its intensity in the districts of: Ngoma, Kirehe, Kayonza, Rwamagana, Bugesera, Nyanza, Gicumbi, Burera, Kamonyi. , Ruhango, Gisagara, Huye, Kicukiro, Nyarugenge, Gasabo “.

In Rwanda in particular, informations were collected on the basis of rainfall measurements and atmospheric warming recorded at the country’s 13 weather stations during the last 36 years, in addition to measurements of the warming temperatures of waters from the Pacific Ocean, Indian Ocean and Atlantic Ocean.

These forecasts were also made on the basis of the wind measurements that occur in eastern and southern Africa.

Jean Louis KAGAHE

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